In the first Trump administration the so called guardrails protected the country from Trump's worst impulses. This time he and his enablers have quickly removed the guardrails and what we're…

Ah, data points. They chickened out. Now we know what's going on. He's a mad king just throwing temper tantrums, indulging his emotions and everybody else is playing catch up.…

Maybe there is actually a plan. Crater the stock market. If it drives interest rates down/flight to safety, great, refinance the debt. If rates go up and refinancing the debt…

Game on. Finally thing are getting interesing. I've got a couple of thoughts I want to jot down before I forget them. 1-It seems like Trump is following Putin's mistake.…

So how is this going to work out. Obviously Trump and the republicians will cut taxes like crazy. They'll try to cut spending too, but since republicians aren't really any…

Anyway, when i started to write earlier i meant to go in a different direction. I feels today as though everything is different and I'm not sure why. Putatively what…

I vaguely remember writing in an old financial diary on the day after Obama was elected and with the stock market collapsing. Today the market is up almost 3% and…

What if everything about valua analysis, or momentum trading or growth or anything else was completely beside the point, not irrelevant exactly, but just so completely overwhelmed by another force…

Finally things got interesting. I think I am starting to lose all interest in the stock market as it becomes apparent that the rules governing the game change whenever necessary…

So the stock market is unstoppable. Higher rates, no problem, a few down days then the goods times roll again. So where and when does reality catch up? Valuations are…

Hmm, the stock market rallied hard, for a little while, on the news that inflation was slightly less than expected. Enthusiasm seems to be waning now, by almost noon. Wonder…

Well, well, well, the stock market is finally getting interesting. Actually it is the bond and FX markets that are getting interesting but I'm too stupid for those so i…

Let me see if I can describe the current inflation situation. We had economic disarray resulting from the pandemic which included sudden spikes and drops in supply or demand in…

Why are the simplest things the hardest to learn? It came to me the other day, the quaint notion of investing in public markets was already dead by the time,…

There are an awful lot of good things about capitalism-private property owenership, competition leading to greater efficiency and innovations, personal inititive, the general compatability of capitalism with freedom, reward for…

This is totally obvious and yet also completely obscured. Just freeze time for a minute. Think of everything that exists in the world, or to make it simple let's just…

Let me see, MMT is the acknowledgement that the government can spend the money it prints to make things happen in the economy and its only constraint is inflation which…

While I was thinking about the previous post, and who knows why, this thought came into my head, although mostly unrelated to the topics i usually contemplate here, I'll record…

Last night, just before i went to sleep, after exhausting myself watching Seinfeld reruns, for some reason i started thinking about Lact Hunt's comment that an economy which gets overburdened…

If the role of government can be described by saying that it directs assets toward some groups and away from others through the process of taxation, subsidization and legislation, then…